“Science,” said the Observer,
“is a great thing and applicable to almost every
line of endeavor. You can kill people in a scientific
manner witness the late Madame Borgia and
others. You can shoe a horse scientifically,
beg scientifically or hypnotize a squalling infant
into innocuous quietude by the aid of science.
Marconi has signalled across the ocean; Santos-Dumont
has navigated the air and Austria has proven her neutrality
in the Spanish-American war by scientific means.
But there is one thing which Science cannot tackle
with any degree of success, and that is the weather
problem.
“The gift of weather prophecy
goes with rheumatism and not with government appointment.
The barometer and the anemometer are not in it with
a touch of gout, a sailor’s superstitions or
a farmer’s instinct, and, until the Department
of Agriculture realizes this, the weather forecast
will have no practical value except as an interesting
bit of fiction.
“I once heard of a man who was
‘salivated’ in a quicksilver mine, and
who, as a result, turned into a living barometer.
If his head was clear and his feet were heavy, it
was a sure sign of rain in Summer or frost in Winter.
If, on the contrary, he seemed depressed mentally and
yearned for exercise, a rise in temperature and fair
weather were in order. He amassed a large fortune
in making weather bets, but one day when the thermometer
was down below zero, he stepped on a tack and all
the mercury ran out of his heel. After that he
lost all his money betting with a neighbor who had
a rheumatic left joint, and died of grief in abject
poverty.
“The only way by which the government
may hope to secure competent weather prognostigators
is in the establishment of regular training schools
for its prophets. The candidate should be examined
as to fitness, just as the applicant for a West Point
cadetship. He should possess inherited tendencies
toward rheumatism as a primary qualification.
Then, after serving three years before the mast and
putting in an equal period of active labor on a farm,
he would be able to turn out correct forecasts with
no other apparatus than a set of signal flags, a typewriter
and a hektograph.
“It wouldn’t be scientific,”
concluded the Observer, reflectively, “because
he couldn’t explain his deductions on a basis
of dynamic pressure, electrical disturbances, or velocity
of air currents. But it would be a safe tip for
the city man to get out his umbrella, mackintosh and
overshoes and for the farmer to cover up his hay, if
the rain flag were seen to float on the weather pole.”